# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-01-29 · 21 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN29 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:18:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-29 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks on Trump Accounts, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	62	44	0.71	YYYnYnnYnY	1	1	0.68	hist	yes
Iran	iran	39	27	0.69	YYYYnnYYYY	1	1	0.66	hist	no
Biden	biden	162	119	0.73	nYYYnYYnnY	1	1	0.64	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	112	76	0.68	YYYYYnnYnn	1	1	0.63	hist	yes
Education / College	college|education	0	0			1	1	0.56	hist	no
401k / 401(k)	401 k|401k	0	0			1	1	0.48	hist	no
Housing	housing	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	30	16	0.53	YYYnnYYYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Dell	dell	0	0			1	1	0.46	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	89	37	0.42	YYnnYnnnnn	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Baby	baby	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Greenland	greenland	32	14	0.44	YYYYYYnYnn	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Social Security	social security	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
Gold / Golden	gold|golden	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	12	6	0.5	nnYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
Stagflation	stagflation	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	13	5	0.38	nnnYnYYYnY	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	42	18	0.43	nnnYYnnYYY	1	1	0.32	hist	no
Too Late	too late	12	3	0.25	nnYYnnnnnn	1	1	0.29	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	246	24	0.1	nYYYYnnnnn	1	0	0.06	hist	no
6 Billion	6 billion	0	0			1	1	0.42	prior	yes
