Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Angel Families Remembrance Ceremony?
Markets
17 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 62%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Institution | Yes | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 59%n=185 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 53%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 35%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 65%n=128 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 52%n=152 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 52%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 46%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 38%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deportation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 36%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Cartel | No | 33%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 30%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 29%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 19%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=281 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP