Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Governors Dinner?
Markets
21 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | 52%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 51%n=151 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 27%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 73%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 60%n=183 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 59%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 55%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 48%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 47%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Disgrace / Disgraceful | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 40%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| RINO | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Low IQ | No | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 36%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 35%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 31%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 20%n=81 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | 15%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=279 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP