# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-02-22 · 21 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB22 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:46:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-22 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Governors Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Trillion	trillion	71	52	0.73	YYYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.73	no
Biden	biden	183	129	0.7	nnYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.6	no
Democrat	democrat	86	58	0.67	nnYYnYYYnY	1	1	0.59	no
Stock Market	stock market	39	23	0.59	YYYYnYYYnY	1	1	0.55	no
Election	election	69	41	0.59	YnYnYnYYYn	1	1	0.52	yes
Hottest	hottest	150	83	0.55	YYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.51	yes
Iran	iran	48	29	0.6	YnnnYnnnnY	1	1	0.48	no
Disgrace / Disgraceful	disgrace|disgraceful	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.47	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	101	44	0.44	nYnnnYYYYn	1	1	0.47	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	22	7	0.32	nnnnnYYnYn	1	1	0.4	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.39	no
Low IQ	low iq	7	2	0.29	YnnnnYn	1	1	0.37	no
RINO	rino	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	no
America First	america first	24	11	0.46	YnnnYnYYYn	1	0	0.36	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	12	5	0.42	nnnYnYnYYn	1	1	0.35	no
Alien	alien	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	1	1	0.35	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	66	21	0.32	Ynnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.31	no
Ballroom	ballroom	26	7	0.27	YnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.27	yes
Epstein	epstein	78	17	0.22	nnnYnnnnnn	1	0	0.2	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	1	0	0.15	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	278	26	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.05	no