Zohran Mamdani: Speech, Jun 4, 2026
Kalshi listed 18 words for Zohran Mamdani’s speech on Jun 4, 2026; 6 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 72%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 62%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 57%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | Yes | 47%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Wemby / Wembanyama | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subway / Bus | Yes | 18%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 71%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 67%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 54%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 38%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 28%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 23%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 20%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 11%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 10%n=34 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…train crossing the bridge at sunset. It's trying to make rent and afford groceries. It's the days when that train's running late or caught in…
…have a home to return to, a bed to sleep in, a safety net to catch me. But like every single one of the more…
Chancellor Rodríguez, President Monroe, Provost Jones, deans, faculty, staff — thank you for all you have done to help these graduates get to this moment.…
…know we're at Barclays right now — but you know what I'm going to ask. Can we make some noise for the New York Knicks?
…I took the same 1 train to transfer at the same Bx10 bus that I rode to get to high school, a decade earlier. Except…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-06-04:speech-082c7e · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-06-04:speech-082c7e · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP