Will JD Vance say “Woke”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Woke” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

26%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=woke

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Woke

Probability
26% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 1 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 19:28In transcript

…problems under the Biden administration because people didn't want to join a woke military. And what I mean is, they didn't want to join any…

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 1, 2025 · Oct 1, 2025 · 0:56In transcript

So the American people woke up this morning and asked the obvious question, why is the government shut down right now? The answer is pure…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 22, 2025WokeKalshiNo
Dec 17, 2025WokeKalshiNo
Nov 27, 2025WokeKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2025WokeKalshiNo
Sep 15, 2025WokePolymarketNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Woke”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Woke” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 15, 2025.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Woke” next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Woke’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/woke (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=woke · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP