JD Vance: Remarks, Nov 27, 2025
Kalshi What will JD Vance say during his remarks at Fort Campbell?
Markets
20 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 62%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| God | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Middle East | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 71%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 60%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 47%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walmart | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | No | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | No | 37%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Department of War | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trillion | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Woke | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXVANCEMENTION-25NOV27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP