Will JD Vance say “Trillion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Trillion” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Trillion
- Probability
- 26% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Security, no taxes on tips, no taxes on overtime. We've seen $19 trillion of new investment come into the country, but most of that is…
…in a freefall. They have sky high inflation. And fundamentally, about $1 trillion of damage to their industrial base was caused over the last three…
…growth, in order to create record wage growth, in order to induce trillions of dollars of new investment into our country, that's because he cares…
…taxpayers to pay for free healthcare for illegal aliens. America is $37 trillion in debt. We cannot afford to provide taxpayer-funded free healthcare to illegals…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Trillion”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Trillion” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 21, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Trillion” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Trillion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/trillion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=trillion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP