Will JD Vance say “Investment”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Investment” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (40%), most recently on Nov 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Investment
- Probability
- 39% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on tips, no taxes on overtime. We've seen $19 trillion of new investment come into the country, but most of that is building new factories…
…record wage growth, in order to induce trillions of dollars of new investment into our country, that's because he cares about that stuff. What he…
…working on matters that involve Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, three countries that combined have given him more than $2.5 billion for his investment firm?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Investment |  Kalshi | No |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Investment | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Investment | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Investment | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Investment | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Investment”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Investment” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (40%), most recently on Nov 15, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Investment” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/investment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP