Jamie Raskin

Politics · CongressPersonUS CongressMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 23:56 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 105 word markets on Jamie Raskin’s appearances since 2026, on 38 different words; most reliably said: “Trump” (4 of 5).

History Wall

1–39 of 39, most settled first

Jamie Raskin: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Feb 12episode	Mar 5episode	Mar 5interview	Mar 16interview	Apr 2episode	Jun 25episode	Aug 11episode	Sep 6episode	Oct 6latest	Last 9	Settled	Probability
Corrupt / Corruption	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 12 episode	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 5 episode	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 16 interview	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 25 episode	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 11 episode	4 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	4 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 6 episode, counts as said	6/967%	6/967%	40%n=2 from settlement history
Epstein	YSettled yes: Epstein, Feb 12 episode	YSettled yes: Epstein, Mar 5 episode	NSettled no: Epstein, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Epstein, Mar 16 interview	YSettled yes: Epstein, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: Epstein, Jun 25 episode	YSettled yes: Epstein, Aug 11 episode	0 times: Epstein, Sep 6 episode	0 times: Epstein, Oct 6 episode	4/944%	4/944%	27%n=2 from settlement history
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Feb 12 episode	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 5 episode	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Trump, Mar 16 interview	YSettled yes: Trump, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 6 episode	4/580%	4/580%	40%n=2 from settlement history
Election	–Not listed: Election, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Election, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Election, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Election, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: Election, Apr 2 episode	YSettled yes: Election, Jun 25 episode	NSettled no: Election, Aug 11 episode	8 times: Election, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	1 time: Election, Oct 6 episode, counts as said	3/560%	3/560%	–
Republican	–Not listed: Republican, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Republican, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Republican, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Republican, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: Republican, Apr 2 episode	YSettled yes: Republican, Jun 25 episode	NSettled no: Republican, Aug 11 episode	5 times: Republican, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	1 time: Republican, Oct 6 episode, counts as said	3/560%	3/560%	–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 11 episode	2 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 6 episode	1/520%	1/520%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordabilitynever said	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 25 episode	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 11 episode	0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 6 episode	0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 6 episode	0/50%	0/50%	–
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation	NSettled no: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Aug 11 episode	1 time: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	1 time: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Oct 6 episode, counts as said	2/450%	2/450%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump3+ times	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 2 episode	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 25 episode	NSettled no: Trump (3+ times), Aug 11 episode	13 times: Trump (3+ times), Sep 6 episode, counts as said	3 times: Trump (3+ times), Oct 6 episode, counts as said (our count 3 · the market settled no)	3/475%	2/450%	–
Irannever said	–Not listed: Iran, Feb 12 episode	NSettled no: Iran, Mar 5 episode	NSettled no: Iran, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Iran, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: Iran, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 6 episode	0/40%	0/40%	27%n=2 from settlement history
Blanche	–Not listed: Blanche, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Blanche, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Blanche, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Blanche, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Blanche, Apr 2 episode	YSettled yes: Blanche, Jun 25 episode	YSettled yes: Blanche, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Blanche, Sep 6 episode	0 times: Blanche, Oct 6 episode	2/367%	2/367%	–
Healthcare	–Not listed: Healthcare, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Healthcare, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 25 episode	NSettled no: Healthcare, Aug 11 episode	4 times: Healthcare, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	1 time: Healthcare, Oct 6 episode, counts as said	2/367%	2/367%	–
Terrorist / Terrorism	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Feb 12 episode	YSettled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 5 episode	YSettled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Oct 6 episode	2/367%	2/367%	40%n=2 from settlement history
Ballroom / Pool	–Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: Ballroom / Pool, Jun 25 episode	YSettled yes: Ballroom / Pool, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Sep 6 episode	0 times: Ballroom / Pool, Oct 6 episode	1/333%	1/333%	–
Fraud	–Not listed: Fraud, Feb 12 episode	YSettled yes: Fraud, Mar 5 episode	NSettled no: Fraud, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Fraud, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Fraud, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Fraud, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Fraud, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Fraud, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Fraud, Oct 6 episode	1/333%	1/333%	27%n=2 from settlement history
Iran / Iranian	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 25 episode	NSettled no: Iran / Iranian, Aug 11 episode	2 times: Iran / Iranian, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	0 times: Iran / Iranian, Oct 6 episode	1/333%	1/333%	–
ICE / DHS	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: ICE / DHS, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Aug 11 episode	0 times: ICE / DHS, Sep 6 episode	0 times: ICE / DHS, Oct 6 episode	0/30%	0/30%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pam / Bondi	YSettled yes: Pam / Bondi, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Mar 16 interview	YSettled yes: Pam / Bondi, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Oct 6 episode	2/2100%	2/2100%	–
ICE / Border	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Feb 12 episode	YSettled yes: ICE / Border, Mar 5 episode	YSettled yes: ICE / Border, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Oct 6 episode	2/2100%	2/2100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Congress / Congressional	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Feb 12 episode	NSettled no: Congress / Congressional, Mar 5 episode	YSettled yes: Congress / Congressional, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Oct 6 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Noem	–Not listed: Noem, Feb 12 episode	NSettled no: Noem, Mar 5 episode	YSettled yes: Noem, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Noem, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Noem, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Noem, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Noem, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Noem, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Noem, Oct 6 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
FBI	–Not listed: FBI, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: FBI, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: FBI, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: FBI, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: FBI, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: FBI, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: FBI, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: FBI, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: FBI, Oct 6 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Mask / Masked	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Feb 12 episode	NSettled no: Mask / Masked, Mar 5 episode	NSettled no: Mask / Masked, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Oct 6 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tariff	–Not listed: Tariff, Feb 12 episode	NSettled no: Tariff, Mar 5 episode	NSettled no: Tariff, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Tariff, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Tariff, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Tariff, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Tariff, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Tariff, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Tariff, Oct 6 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pirro / Burgum	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Jun 25 episode	YSettled yes: Pirro / Burgum, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Pirro / Burgum, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Ghislaine / Maxwell	YSettled yes: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Netanyahu / Israel	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Aug 11 episode	2 times: Netanyahu / Israel, Sep 6 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Netanyahu / Israel, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Kash / Patel	YSettled yes: Kash / Patel, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Kash / Patel, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction	YSettled yes: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Slush Fund	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Apr 2 episode	YSettled yes: Slush Fund, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Slush Fund, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Victim / Survivor	YSettled yes: Victim / Survivor, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Oct 6 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
First Amendment	–Not listed: First Amendment, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: First Amendment, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: First Amendment, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: First Amendment, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: First Amendment, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: First Amendment, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: First Amendment, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: First Amendment, Sep 6 episode	0 times: First Amendment, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Howard / Lutnick	NSettled no: Howard / Lutnick, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Howard / Lutnick, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
ICE	–Not listed: ICE, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: ICE, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: ICE, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: ICE, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: ICE, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: ICE, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: ICE, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: ICE, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: ICE, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Kristi / Noem	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Mar 5 interview	NSettled no: Kristi / Noem, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Shutdown / Shut Down	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Supreme Court	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Court, Sep 6 episode	0 times: Supreme Court, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
TSA	–Not listed: TSA, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: TSA, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: TSA, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: TSA, Mar 16 interview	NSettled no: TSA, Apr 2 episode	–Not listed: TSA, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: TSA, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: TSA, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: TSA, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Feb 12 episode	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Mar 5 episode	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Mar 5 interview	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Mar 16 interview	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Apr 2 episode	NSettled no: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Jun 25 episode	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Aug 11 episode	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Sep 6 episode	–Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Oct 6 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Jamie Raskin: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jamie-raskin (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jamie-raskin · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jamie-raskin · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP