Will Jamie Raskin say “Epstein”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Raskin said “Epstein” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (44%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

27%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-raskin&word=epstein

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jamie Raskin

Epstein

Probability
27% · n=9
Settled
4/9 (44%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jamie Raskin say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not said

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What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? · not said

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What will Jamie Raskin say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jamie Raskin say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 6, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Sep 6, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Aug 11, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Jun 25, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Apr 2, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Mar 16, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Mar 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Mar 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Feb 12, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Jamie Raskin say “Epstein”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Raskin said “Epstein” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (44%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026.
What is the probability Jamie Raskin says “Epstein” next time?
27%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Raskin: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jamie-raskin/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-raskin&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-raskin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP