Jamie Raskin: Interview, Mar 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Congress / Congressional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / Border | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Noem | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP