Will Jamie Raskin say “Kristi / Noem”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jamie Raskin did not say “Kristi / Noem” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 16, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Raskin
Kristi / Noem
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Kristi / Noem |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jamie Raskin say “Kristi / Noem”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Jamie Raskin did not say “Kristi / Noem” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Jamie Raskin says “Kristi / Noem” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Raskin: ‘Kristi / Noem’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jamie-raskin/words/kristi-or-noem (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-raskin&word=kristi%20%2F%20noem · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-raskin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP