Will Jamie Raskin say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jamie Raskin said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (20%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Raskin
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 32% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Jamie Raskin say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Jamie Raskin said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (20%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Jamie Raskin says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Raskin: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jamie-raskin/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-raskin&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-raskin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP