Meet the Press (NBC), September 6, 2026
On the Sep 6, 2026 episode of Meet the Press, 9 of the 12 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 13 | 53 | ✓ | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 8 | 21 | ✓ | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 5 | 32 | ✓ | 47%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 49%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Netanyahu / Israel | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 49%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 14 | ✓ | 47%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 2 | 18 | ✓ | 40%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | 37%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/meet-the-press:2026-09-06:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=meet-the-press:2026-09-06:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP