Jamie Raskin: Interview, Mar 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
11 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| FBI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-RASK26MAR16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP