Will “Nvidia” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nvidia” was said on All-In Podcast in 21 of 29 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 28, 2025 (72%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=29, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Nvidia
- Probability
- 68% · n=29
- Settled
- 21/29 (72%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: anyone
2 counted.
…you can run it on a local computer. You can have an NVIDIA chip or have a good Mac Studio computer, and you can run…
…makes no logical sense. On top of that, Chamath, you have very significant competition, not just from the Chinese, but you have Jensen and NVIDIA.
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
…typical risks. Okay, just explain. The typical risk, Jason, that they would have had would have said competition. NVIDIA may not give us the chips.
Every settled listing
newest first · 29 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nvidia |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 29, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 22, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 15, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 8, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Nvidia | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Nvidia | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Nvidia” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nvidia” was said on All-In Podcast in 21 of 29 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 28, 2025 (72%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nvidia” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=29). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Nvidia’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/nvidia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=nvidia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP