All-In Podcast: Episode, Feb 27, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (February 27)
Markets
24 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center | Yes | 76%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Biden / Kamala | Yes | 72%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sanders | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| New York | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Audit | No | 67%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | No | 67%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| California | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nvidia | No | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DeepSeek | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gavin / Newsom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gemini | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tesla | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-february-27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP