All-In Podcast: Episode, Aug 7, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7)
Markets
10 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Software | Yes | 87%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| IPO | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX 3+ times | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | Yes | 61%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| AI 50+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Anthropic 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blue | No | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Red | No | 65%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-august-7-20260731211505799 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP