All-In Podcast: Episode, Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14)
Markets
10 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Software | Yes | 88%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 80%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| IPO | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | Yes | 69%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX 3+ times | Yes | 69%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | Yes | 63%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Red | Yes | 59%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI 50+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Anthropic 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-august-14-20260812155223367 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP