All-In Podcast: Episode, Oct 2, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2)
Markets
10 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 90%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Yes | 70%n=6 from settlement history | – | |
| Nvidia | Yes | 70%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | Yes | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| IPO | No | 89%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| AI 50+ times | No | 83%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic 5+ times | No | 83%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX 3+ times | No | 62%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Smartphone | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mark Zuckerberg | No | 26%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-october-2-20260930 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP