All-In Podcast: Episode, Jun 19, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (June 19)
Markets
19 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | Yes | 85%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Software | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cancer | Yes | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Regulatory | Yes | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IPO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada | Yes | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI 35+ times | No | 69%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | No | 65%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Innovation | No | 65%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Disruptive | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hollywood | No | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Alignment | No | 31%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Miracle | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution | No | 23%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Biology | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Globalization | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-june-19-20260612212743285 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP