All-In Podcast: Episode, Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31)
Markets
17 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Software | Yes | 86%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI 35+ times | Yes | 69%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | Yes | 64%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Innovation | Yes | 56%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Europe / European | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Regulatory / Regulation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blue | No | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX 3+ times | No | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Red | No | 61%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Cancer | No | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock Market | No | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Disruptive | No | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution | No | 22%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-july-31-20260727161921239 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP