All-In Podcast: Episode, Nov 28, 2025

By Nov 28EpisodeHistory onlyAll-In Podcast

Updated

Markets

9 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Bubble Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto / Bitcoin Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Michael / Burry Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Nvidia Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Clout No–new new word, no probability yet–
Foundational Shift No–new new word, no probability yet–
Intellectually Honest No–new new word, no probability yet–
Monad No–new new word, no probability yet–
Valuation No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP