All-In Podcast: Episode, May 29, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 29)
Markets
24 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innovation | Yes | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI 45+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Anthropic 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Prediction | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cancer | Yes | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insurance | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Closed source | Yes | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution | Yes | 16%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | No | 70%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Civilization | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Data Center 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Comparison | No | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Disruptive | No | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| European Union | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Middle East | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alignment | No | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Plastic | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biology | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Globalization | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Competent | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Macroeconomy | No | 20%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-may-29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP