Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Fox News in 6 of 16 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (38%), most recently on Apr 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

30%from settlement history only · n=16counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

Israel / Israeli

Probability
30% · n=16
Settled
6/16 (38%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not said

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

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What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 5, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo0
Aug 15, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Aug 1, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Jul 11, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Jun 7, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
May 11, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Apr 25, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes–
Apr 9, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes–
Apr 5, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Mar 24, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes–
Mar 22, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Mar 9, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Mar 8, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes–
Mar 4, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo–
Feb 11, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes–
Jan 15, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Fox News in 6 of 16 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (38%), most recently on Apr 25, 2026.
What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on Fox News next time?
30%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP