Will Donald Trump say “Markwayne / Mullin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Markwayne / Mullin” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Markwayne / Mullin
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…these are great people, by the way -- Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin, Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, FBI Director Kash Patel, Director…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Markwayne / Mullin |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Markwayne / Mullin |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Markwayne / Mullin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Markwayne / Mullin” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Markwayne / Mullin” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Markwayne / Mullin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/markwayne-or-mullin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=markwayne%20%2F%20mullin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP