Donald Trump: Remarks, Jan 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his meetings with the PM of the Slovak Republic?
Markets
17 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | No | 70%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 67%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 64%n=152 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 64%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 56%n=117 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 55%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 54%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 54%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 53%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | No | 51%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 47%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | 46%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 44%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacturing | No | 43%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 23%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | 11%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=234 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP