Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Working Breakfast with Governors?
Markets
20 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | No | 61%n=181 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 60%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 58%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 54%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 52%n=149 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 50%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 49%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alien | No | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 43%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Potomac | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wes Moore | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 41%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Judy Shelton | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 33%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Disaster | No | 32%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 29%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 21%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | 17%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=277 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP