# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-02-21 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB21 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:26:32Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Working Breakfast with Governors, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src
Biden	biden	181	129	0.71	nnnnYYYYYY	1	1	0.61	hist
Democrat	democrat	84	57	0.68	nYnnYYnYYY	1	1	0.6	hist
Stock Market	stock market	37	22	0.59	YYYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.58	hist
Election	election	68	41	0.6	nYnYnYnYYY	1	1	0.54	hist
Hottest	hottest	148	82	0.55	nnYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist
Iran	iran	46	28	0.61	YYYnnnYnnn	1	1	0.5	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	100	44	0.44	YnYnnnYYYY	1	1	0.49	hist
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.47	hist
Alien	alien	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.46	hist
Supreme Court	supreme court	21	7	0.33	nnnnnnYYnY	1	1	0.43	hist
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	11	5	0.45	nnnnYnYnYY	1	1	0.41	hist
Judy Shelton	judy shelton	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	64	21	0.33	nnYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.33	hist
Disaster	disaster	25	10	0.4	nnYnnnYnnn	1	1	0.32	hist
Ballroom	ballroom	25	7	0.28	nYnnnYnnnn	1	0	0.29	hist
Epstein	epstein	76	17	0.22	nnnnnYnnnn	1	0	0.21	hist
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	1	0	0.17	hist
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	276	26	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.05	hist
Potomac	potomac	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior
Wes Moore	wes moore	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior