# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-02-11 · 17 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB11 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:49:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-11 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox Business: Kudlow, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Democrat	democrat	79	53	0.67	YYYYYnYnnY	1	1	0.69	yes
Biden	biden	175	123	0.7	nYnnYYnnnn	1	1	0.62	yes
Election	election	64	38	0.59	nYYYnYnYnY	1	1	0.61	no
China	china	112	71	0.63	nnYYnnnYnY	1	1	0.56	yes
Border	border	98	60	0.61	YYYnYnYYnY	1	1	0.56	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	23	8	0.35	nnnnnnYYnn	1	1	0.53	no
Tariff	tariff	121	82	0.68	nYYYnYYYnn	1	1	0.51	yes
Hottest	hottest	140	75	0.54	nnnnnnYnnn	1	1	0.42	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	52	22	0.42	nYnnnnYYnY	1	1	0.4	yes
Kevin / Warsh	kevin|warsh	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	0	0.4	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	96	40	0.42	nnnYYnYnnn	1	1	0.38	yes
Epstein	epstein	69	16	0.23	YYYnnYnnnn	1	0	0.34	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	13	4	0.31	nYnnnnYnnn	1	1	0.3	no
Highest Inflation	highest inflation	8	3	0.38	YnYYnnnn	1	1	0.29	no
Credit	credit	12	4	0.33	nnYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.27	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	265	26	0.1	nnYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.09	no