# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · remarks 2026-03-31 · 15 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR31 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:42:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-31 · tn/th last 8 remarks transcripts 2026-03-17..2026-03-30 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	43	33	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	8	4	0.78	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	43	25	0.58	YnYnnYYYYY	8	5	0.61	hist	no
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	16	10	0.62	YnnYYnYYYY	8	5	0.57	hist	no
Trump / President	president|trump	34	17	0.5	nnYYYYnnYY	8	6	0.57	hist	no
Housing	housing	6	4	0.67	YnYnYY	8	4	0.52	hist	no
New Jersey	new jersey	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.51	hist	no
Federal	federal	3	2	0.67	YYn	8	1	0.5	hist	yes
Tunnel / Bridge	bridge|tunnel	2	1	0.5	nY	8	4	0.44	hist	no
Governor / Hochul	governor|hochul	47	19	0.4	nYnYYnnnYn	8	2	0.43	hist	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	4	0.42	hist	yes
NYPD	nypd	46	19	0.41	nnYnYYYnnn	8	2	0.4	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.31	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	1	0	0	n	8	1	0.31	hist	no
Bus / Fast & Free	bus|fast and free	0	0			8	1	0.24	hist	no
EV / Electric	electric|ev	0	0			8	0	0.39	prior	no