What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Tunnel / Bridge” next time?

36%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Tunnel / Bridge”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Tunnel / Bridge” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Tunnel / Bridge” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

36%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 17:00 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Tunnel / Bridge

Probability: 36% · n=3
Settled: 1/3 (33%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Lisa SuotherMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…much of this entrepreneurship over the next decade. With CUNY and our Bridge to Quantum Certificate, we will train over 5,000 New Yorkers for more…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Council Member Linda LeeotherMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…are owed so that they don't have to take out really high-interest bridge loans, right? And lines of credit. And this is a very real…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.