Karoline Leavitt: Interview, Mar 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Karoline Leavitt say during her Fox News interview?
Markets
18 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| College | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi / Noem | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Border | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-26MAR07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP