Will Karoline Leavitt say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (40%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 50% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with the help of Republicans in Congress. Democrats throw around the word affordability a lot, but when they had the chance to vote for the…
…in Congress have proven over and over again that they are the affordability frauds who believe the government should keep more of the American people's…
…The administration-wide efforts to continuing lowering prices to make everyday life more affordable for working Americans. The President will visit Thermo Fisher Scientific in Ohio…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (40%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP