Will Karoline Leavitt say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 7, 2026.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Last said
Mar 6, 2026
Counts
named speaker only

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Karoline Leavitt

Terrorist / Terrorism

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jul. 16, 2026 · Jul 16, 2026 · 23:40In transcript

…is not going to sit by and allow these active acts of terrorism to take place in the strait without ensuring Iran pays consequences for…

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Scott Bessent, and Kelly Loeffler Brief Members of the Media · Apr 15, 2026 · 38:01In transcript

…we have this short-term disruption, but again, it's for the long-term strategic goal of ensuring that these terrorists cannot possess a nuclear bomb. Jennifer. Jennifer.

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Apr. 8, 2026 · Apr 8, 2026 · 3:14In transcript

…Today, that number is zero. Iran's ability to fund and support its terrorist proxies has been greatly reduced. At this point, Iran can no longer…

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Mar. 30, 2026 · Mar 30, 2026 · 0:45In transcript

…passing day, the United States military is increasing its advantage over the terrorist Iranian regime. More than 11,000 enemy targets have been struck to date,…

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Mar. 25, 2026 · Mar 25, 2026 · 1:31In transcript

…military operations in Iran, the United States military continues to decimate the terrorist Iranian regime's offensive and defensive capabilities. Just over three weeks in, it's…

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during her Fox News interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 7, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 7, 2026.
What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP