Will Karoline Leavitt say “Sanctuary”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Sanctuary” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 7, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Sanctuary
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…released from local custody again after a shoplifting arrest. Where? In the sanctuary city of Chicago in June of 2023. Again, another innocent American citizen…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sanctuary |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Sanctuary”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Sanctuary” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Sanctuary” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Sanctuary’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/sanctuary (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=sanctuary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP