Will Karoline Leavitt say “Supreme Court”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Supreme Court” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Supreme Court
- Probability
- 26% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…process actually work? If you're an importer, you paid these tariffs, the Supreme Court found that those tariffs were illegal. What's the process for them…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Supreme Court”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Supreme Court” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Supreme Court” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP