Will Karoline Leavitt say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…largest monthly decline in more than six years. Prices fell including for gasoline, electricity, non-prescription drugs, car insurance, medical care services and hotels, delivering relief…
…negotiations with Iran conclude and the Strait is reopened, we do expect gas prices to decrease. And thank goodness we have a president and an…
…we see you. We are fully tracking this short term fluctuation in oil and in diesel prices, and that's why the President and the administration…
…national security, our homeland security. As for the temporary short-term fluctuation in gas prices, the President has said once these combat operations are over, this…
…buried missile sites. Last night, President Trump reiterated his commitment toward keeping oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz so the United States and all…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP