Will Karoline Leavitt say “Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Border” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Border
- Probability
- 55% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…easy to use for parents at home. Finally, let's turn to the border. Brand new numbers this week from the Department of Homeland Security and…
…to remain in your communities, rather than be removed by ICE and Border Patrol agents. The Democrats created this mess they are the reason for…
…we saw the deadly consequence of this deranged policy of Democrat open borders and an illegal alien first agenda. A beautiful 18 year old girl,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Border”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Border” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Border” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/border (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP