Will Karoline Leavitt say “Biden”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Biden” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Biden
- Probability
- 53% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…apprehensions are down 94 percent compared to the same period under the Biden administration. These numbers speak for themselves. Thanks to President Trump's strong leadership…
…there's accountability for the weaponization of justice that took place under the Biden administration is a top priority for this president. With respect to names…
…aliens to pour into the country, just like they were under the Biden administration. They want murderers and rapists and thugs to remain in your…
…custody for murdering her is a Venezuelan illegal alien who was caught and released at the border by the Biden administration in May of 2023.
…citizens have the right to vote in American elections, but after Joe Biden and the Democrats allowed tens of millions of illegal aliens into our…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Biden”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Biden” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Biden” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP