# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · briefing 2026-01-22 · 15 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JAN22 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:20:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-22 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 briefing transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JAN22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Press Briefing on January 21st, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Tariff	tariff	5	5	1	YYYYY	1	1	0.68	yes
Inflation	inflation	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.63	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.59	yes
China	china	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	1	0.58	no
Fed	fed	3	2	0.67	YnY	1	0	0.52	yes
GDP	gdp	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.46	no
Stock Market	stock market	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	1	0	0.42	no
Innovation	innovation	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	0	0.41	no
National Security	national security	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	1	0.41	yes
Recession	recession	4	1	0.25	nnnY	1	0	0.37	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	1	1	0.34	yes
Data Center	data center	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.31	no
Middle Class	middle class	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.31	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	0	0			1	0	0.28	no
Tax Cut	tax cut	3	0	0	nnn	1	1	0.27	no