Will “Measles” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Measles” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 24, 2026 (20%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 7 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Measles
- Probability
- 26% · n=10
- Settled
- 2/10 (20%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…story. And the CDC sending disease detectives to Pennsylvania because of the measles. From ABC News World Headquarters in New York, this is World News…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Measles |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Measles | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Measles” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Measles” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 24, 2026 (20%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Measles” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Measles’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/measle (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=measle · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP