Will “Lake America / Ontario” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Lake America / Ontario” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 26, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Lake America / Ontario
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Lake America / Ontario |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Lake America / Ontario | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often is “Lake America / Ontario” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Lake America / Ontario” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Lake America / Ontario” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Lake America / Ontario’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/lake-america-or-ontario (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=lake%20america%20%2F%20ontario · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP