What is the probability “Prince Harry / Meghan Markle” is said on World News Tonight next time?

44%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Prince Harry / Meghan Markle” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Prince Harry / Meghan Markle” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Prince Harry / Meghan Markle” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2026 (60%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.

44%from settlement history only · n=5counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 21:14 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle

Probability: 44% · n=5
Settled: 3/5 (60%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 23, 2026 · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:09In transcript

…CHURCH, THE GUNMAN RACING THROUGH THE CROWD. TONIGHT, THE MAJOR HEADLINE INVOLVING MEGHAN MARKLE'S FATHER. THIS EVENING, THE DUCHESS, NOW REACTING TO THE DISTURBING ALLEGATIONS…