Will “Midterm” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Midterm” was said on World News Tonight in 7 of 14 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (8 episodes), it reached the market's count 7 times.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Midterm
- Probability
- 51% · n=14
- Settled
- 7/14 (50%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
3 counted.
storm, dangerous wind gusts and flooding. Lee Goldberg standing by. Tonight, the midterms and the backlash. The Ohio race for governor. The Republican ad taking…
Lee Goldberg with us here. Lee, thanks. Tonight, the midterms and the growing backlash in the Ohio race for governor. The Republican ad taking aim…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: any host or reporter
1 counted.
…set to hit the campaign trail with just two weeks until the crucial midterms. Early voting already underway tonight in 31 states. The president now
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Midterm |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Midterm | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Midterm” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Midterm” was said on World News Tonight in 7 of 14 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Midterm” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Midterm’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/midterm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=midterm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP