Will “Canada / Canadian” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Canada / Canadian” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 19, 2026 (22%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 14, 2026 – Oct 26, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Canada / Canadian
- Probability
- 33% · n=9
- Settled
- 2/9 (22%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Canada / Canadian |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Canada / Canadian” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Canada / Canadian” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 19, 2026 (22%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Canada / Canadian” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Canada / Canadian’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/canada-or-canadian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=canada%20%2F%20canadian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP