Will “Nepal” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Nepal” was said on World News Tonight in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 26, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Nepal
- Probability
- 51% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Nepal” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Nepal” was said on World News Tonight in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 26, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nepal” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Nepal’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/nepal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=nepal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP