Will Zohran Mamdani say “Hantavirus”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Hantavirus” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 8, 2026 (14%), most recently on May 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Hantavirus
- Probability
- 24% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Hantavirus |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 19, 2026 | Hantavirus | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | Hantavirus | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 13, 2026 | Hantavirus | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 13, 2026 | Hantavirus | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 12, 2026 | Hantavirus | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Hantavirus | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Hantavirus”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Hantavirus” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 8, 2026 (14%), most recently on May 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Hantavirus” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Hantavirus’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/hantavirus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=hantavirus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP