Will Zohran Mamdani say “Snow / Snowfall”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Snow / Snowfall” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Snow / Snowfall
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Snow / Snowfall |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Snow / Snowfall | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Snow / Snowfall | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Snow / Snowfall”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Snow / Snowfall” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Snow / Snowfall” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Snow / Snowfall’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/snow-or-snowfall (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=snow%20%2F%20snowfall · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP